Silver, Gold Breaking Out as Safe Haven Buying Continues
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Message: Silver
By Jeb Handwerger Aug 25, 2010 2:40 pm
Gold has already made a significant move and is quite overbought, while silver hasn't participated to the same extent. The gold to silver ratio should move to historical norms, which could mean a major move for silver.
Silver had a very powerful breakout today as investors are seeking assets that are safe and will retain value during a debt crisis. Silver is seeing demand at these price levels as it's historically cheap relative to gold. If the ratio came down to the levels it was in 2006 it would be close to $27 an ounce. Silver is soaring because investors are realizing this is a hard asset, it's money, and it's historically cheap compared to gold.
Gold has reached overbought conditions from my July 28 buy signal. Right now gold is a bit overbought while silver is at an interesting buy point, having found support for the fourth time at its long-term 200-day moving average. Today’s breakout of the symmetrical triangle, a very bullish chart pattern, is a sign that silver has built up a lot of internal strength and could break out into new three-year highs. Remember, silver is significantly below all-time highs while gold has already broken into new highs.
While I'm bullish on gold, I believe investors could see a higher percentage move in silver and that it will make a major move on this breakout. Investors are looking for a safe haven, protection, and value in silver. Gold has already made a significant move and is quite overbought, while silver hasn't participated to the same extent. The gold-to-silver ratio should move to historical norms, which could mean a major move for silver.
If you do a study of the point-and-figure chart of the relative strength of silver versus the S&P 500 since 2001, its strong uptrend is apparent. Each time silver falls back into support, it breaks out and makes significant rallies.
The break above the red bearish resistance line and a double-top breakout coupled with the daily chart symmetrical wedge pattern demonstrates that silver has reached a critical juncture and could make a nice move.
Gold has reached overbought conditions from my July 28 buy signal. Right now gold is a bit overbought while silver is at an interesting buy point, having found support for the fourth time at its long-term 200-day moving average. Today’s breakout of the symmetrical triangle, a very bullish chart pattern, is a sign that silver has built up a lot of internal strength and could break out into new three-year highs. Remember, silver is significantly below all-time highs while gold has already broken into new highs.
While I'm bullish on gold, I believe investors could see a higher percentage move in silver and that it will make a major move on this breakout. Investors are looking for a safe haven, protection, and value in silver. Gold has already made a significant move and is quite overbought, while silver hasn't participated to the same extent. The gold-to-silver ratio should move to historical norms, which could mean a major move for silver.
If you do a study of the point-and-figure chart of the relative strength of silver versus the S&P 500 since 2001, its strong uptrend is apparent. Each time silver falls back into support, it breaks out and makes significant rallies.
The break above the red bearish resistance line and a double-top breakout coupled with the daily chart symmetrical wedge pattern demonstrates that silver has reached a critical juncture and could make a nice move.
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