The Bullish Case
posted on
Nov 09, 2010 01:37AM
Edit this title from the Fast Facts Section
I know there's a lot of doom & gloom out there - it's been with us ever since the market bottomed last year. Just for a change, here's a more positive outlook (at least for the intermediate term).
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-11-08/ceos-most-optimistic-on-u-s-profits-since-1999-in-bull-signal-for-s-p-500.html
Here's an excerpt:
Companies are raising the outlook for U.S. profits at the same time the Fed is trying to prevent deflation and reduce unemployment by purchasing an additional $600 billion in Treasuries. The last time executives were this optimistic, stocks climbed 39 percent over the next 3 1/2 years, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
“It’s important for the rally and for the general health of the market that investors continue to anticipate higher earnings,” said Dean Gulis, who manages $3 billion for Loomis Sayles & Co. in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. “That companies themselves are expecting better profits is very positive. As we see rising earnings, we’ll see improving stock prices.”
GDP Growth
About 1.5 U.S. companies boosted earnings estimates above analysts’ forecasts for each that cut projections in October. That’s about three times the average of 0.59 in the past 10 years, data tracked by Bloomberg show. The ratio fell to a record low of 0.1 in December 2008, three months after New York- based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy. When it reached 1.1 in March 2004, the S&P 500 rose from 1,126.21 to a record 1,565.15 in October 2007, Bloomberg data show.