Been waiting for this - the trouble with crystal ball watching is that no one can get it right all the time. I think the best anyone can hope for is about 70% and Larry E is pretty close to that. But that still leaves that pesky 30%......
That said, I agree with Larry that the foundation for the gold rally is not solid, so I wouldn't chase it right now. I've always done better with gold & PM stocks when they are oversold.