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Message: The FOMC statement

Nothing subjective here ... just a scorecard of FOMC comments within the official statement .... doesn't make me bullish

THE GOOD:

  • business investment in equipment and software continues to expand
  • inflation has moderated as prices of energy and some commodities have declined from their earlier peaks.
  • Inflation will settle, over coming quarters, at levels at or below both consistent with the Committee’s dual mandate

THE BAD:

  • economic growth so far this year has been considerably slower than the Committee had expected
  • recent labor market indicators have been weaker than anticipated.
  • Household spending has flattened out,
  • investment in nonresidential structures is still weak
  • the housing sector remains depressed
  • Inflation picked up earlier in the year, mainly reflecting higher prices for some commodities
  • Committee now expects a somewhat slower pace of recovery over coming quarters than it did at the time of the previous meeting
  • unemployment rate will decline only gradually
  • downside risks to the economic outlook have increased
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