Nice list MaxV. I'm leaning towards rally. although the evidence is far from clear. A minor downtrend break (from Aug) appears to be in progress, and seasonal strength is near.
The seasonal trends do appear to be working, but shifted to the early side. Strength started and ended early. We are now close to another period of strength (late Oct to Jan). If the pattern is holding, gold stocks bottomed in mid-October and should be strong for a couple of months.