Re: Peter's Revisionism
in response to
by
posted on
Feb 06, 2014 10:50AM
Edit this title from the Fast Facts Section
I've read Peter's latest crash preditions. He bases it on too much private and personal debt, people owning too much stuff, etc. While I have a similar view on much of that, there's nothing new about it - I don't see how it crashes the stock market. Technically he bases it on the multi-year megaphone pattern, which he considers bearish. However, this pattern is just as often a continuation pattern as a reversal - it breaks up just as often as it breaks down.
About tomorrow's jobs report - I think you're right. It will very likely move markets - especially the gold market (probably down for gold). I have to decide whether to dump the rest of my PMs - I sold most of my winners from the Santa trade but I've kept a lot of this stuff in anticipation of a possible 2nd leg up. Logically, there's no reason to hold on, but technically the gold stocks look like they are trying to form a bullish cup and handle pattern. Of course the pattern is only valid if there is a breakout to the upside – which has not yet happened.
Right now I'm torn between logic, which says "sell PMs" and technicals which say "hold." I think tomorrow or Monday will be a tell. I keep thinking of that song "Should I stay or should I go."