It's really simple.
1) If TRE does not clear 7.50 by end of April this is a bust
2) Assuming TRE clears 7.50, if it does not clear its all time high of 9 this is a bust.
TRE must clear 9 in the next 9-12 weeks otherwise something is so wrong in this calculus that it will be time to go home.
Should we clear 9 convincingly, then we can begin to discuss this years monster move. If we do not clear the 7.50 and then the 9 milestones you can forget it. The shorts will drill this stock back down to 2.