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Message: Let's Let History Be Our Guide. Eliminate The Noise.

Let's Let History Be Our Guide. Eliminate The Noise.

posted on Mar 18, 2009 07:35AM

I believe the current maelstrom most closely mirrors The Great Depression. If you agree, keep reading. If not, there is no need to read the remainder of this post.

Consider the following:

"The stock price of this gold mining company soared relentlessly upward during the entire bear market. Homestake Mining stock rose continuously from $80 in October 1929 to $495 per share in December 1935 - which represents a total return of 519% (excluding cash dividends) during the devastating bear market period.

Contemplate and appreciate the monumental difference in investment returns during a serious bear market. Smart-money invested $10,000 in Homestake Mining (hard assets) in late 1929 - which increased in value to almost $62,000 by December 1935. This represents a compound rate of return of 35% per year in appreciation alone!

It is meaningful to note that in late 1929 the value of Homestake Mining was about $80 per share. Moreover, during the next six years Homestake Mining paid out a total of $128 in cash dividends. In fact the 1935 dividend alone reached $56 per share. That's almost a 70% dividend yield payout (basis 1929) in only one year! Indeed, hard asset investments (gold mining shares) were islands of economic refuge during the grueling years of the Great Depression."

Remember, appreciation and dividends are addressed separately above. Source: http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials...

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