Tyhee Development Potential
April 2010
Its been quite a few months since I did this and since we have some big news due over
the next two or three months, I figured I would repost this with some modifications.
Assumptions:
Production rate per the P.A. of 165,000 oz/per year.
Total shares outstanding at time of production of 350 Million
Total debt at start of production $150 Million at 8% APR, 8 year amortization:
Monthly payment of $2,120,000 = $25,440,000 per year.
Price / Earnings (PE) Ratio of 30.
Operating cost of $400/ounce (Current est. per PA is about $390 from 2008)
GOLD PRICE at $2,000 (I think this is a safe bet for a couple years out even though
most of us know a higher price is likely)
Yearly Gross: 165,000 x $2,000 = $330,000,000 ($330M)
Yearly Net: $330M – (165K x $400) – ($25.44M) = $238.56M
Earnings per share: $238.56M / 350M shares = $ 0.68
Price Per Share(PPS): 30 (PE) = PPS/$0.68
Therefore PPS = $20.45
So, if gold goes higher, Tyhee increases production, and the blow-off stage occurs
eventually in the mining shares, what will Tyhee's share price potential be?
Tyhee: STRONG BUY