Recommendation to Buy Aurvista Gold
posted on
Mar 24, 2012 10:18AM
Douay West project, Matagami, Quebec - 4.3m oz Gold
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J Taylor’s WWW.MININGSTOCKS.COM Energy & Tech Stocks Weekly Hotline Message ( Industry Review Aurvista Gold Corporation Business
: Exploration and development of gold projects in
Quebec Traded TSX: AVA US OTC: ARVSF Initial Recommendation 9/30/11: US$0.286 Price 3/9/12: $0.25 Shares Outstanding: 52.9 Million Market Cap: US$13.3 Million Fully Diluted (Approximate): $60.2 Million Cash (Approximate): $1 Million Gold Resource (All categories): 2 million oz. Progress Rating: A3 Web Site: www.aurvistagold.com Phone Number: 416-504-3588 I learned about Aurvista Gold Corporation (Aurvista) last fall when I was invited to speak at a wonderful investment conference event in Kelowna, B.C. The conference was sponsored by the Norvista Group, which is one of the largest shareholders of Aurvista. With a 43-101 resource of nearly 2 million open-pit ounces of gold in place, with prospects of expanding that number significantly, and with the project located in the prolific eastern gold fields of Canada where infrastructure problems are virtually non-existent, this was a “no brainer” recommendation. Approximately six months later this stock is trading at more or less the same level as it traded when I first brought it to your attention on September 30, 2011, which is not unusual by any means. Junior stocks have been in funk for some time now and in my view, in many instances do not reflect their true intrinsic value in what I believe is and shall remain for some time to come, the bull market of a lifetime. I believe Aurvista Gold Corp. could be ready for a major breakout. Aside from the influence of the markets, which is beyond the control of management, the recent appointment of Rick Adams to head up the company may be the catalyst to bring this much undervalued company to the attention of some new investors in this stock. Adams is a professional engineer who holds an MBA in finance. He is an experienced mining executive with a proven international record in due diligence, finance, development, construction, and operation. He is experienced in gold, nickel, copper, zinc, and diamond mining operations, and has been employed by, or consultant to, most of the world’s largest resource companies, including Xstrata, AngloGold, Barrick, Placer Dome, Votorantim, INCO, Falconbridge, Teck-Cominco, Hudson Bay Mining & Smelting, DeBeers, and Rio Tinto. He has worked in executive, operational, and consulting roles for companies with projects in North America, Central America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Africa. Recently, Mr. Adams Gold D o w J o n e s /G o ld A n n u a l R e tu r n s - 4 0% - 2 0% 0% 2 0% 4 0% 6 0% 8 0% 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 Y e a r s 1 9 6 8 - 1 9 9 6 Percentage Gains/(Loss) D J IA % G o ld % TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. PO Box 780555, Maspeth, NY 11378 (718) 457-1426 March 9, 2012 Cop
yright @ 2012 TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 2 was a founder and director of Castle Gold Corp., a Central American gold producer, which was successfully sold in 2010 for $110 million. This company’s shares are very tightly held. Nearest I can tell, it seems that only about 10% of the outstanding shares are in the float. Two shareholders, Vior Inc. with 44% and Norvista with 18%, own 62% of the company. Management holds another 7%, which means management and two companies own 69% of the company. Another 21% is held by the following: Desjardins Securities (6%), MGI Securities (5%), Marquest (4%), Sidex (2.5%), CGE Resources (2.0%), and Matrix (1.5%). That means that this stock has very little if any following among retail investors. The “smart money” has gotten into this deal at or around the current share price. I suspect that is because they see the potential for Aurvista to build a major gold deposit in a major gold camp where infrastructure needs are fully met and in one of the best mining jurisdictions in the world, namely, Quebec. The company’s flagship property, known as the Douay Project, is located on the Casa Berardi Fault in Quebec, 120 kilometers southeast of the 30 + million oz. Detour Lake Project, 80 meters due east of the Casa Berardi Mine, and 50 kilometers directly north of the Sleeping Giant Mine. It’s about a 2½-hour drive from Val d’Or to the property. Aurvista has the following three separate targets on its very large Douay Property: •
A high-grade
underground deposit known as the Douay West Deposit. It contains 160,000 ounces grading 8.15 grams gold per tonne. •
A large tonnage open-pit target that already contains 1.1 million ounces. The geology here is similar to
multimillion-oz. deposits along the major trend at Timmins Ontario (Detour Lake) and in Quebec (Malartic). •
Providing longer-term grassroots exploration potential is the 20-kilometer-long trend referred to as the “Pull
Apart” targets. This is a structural trend along the Casa-Berardi Fault that has hosted many millions of ounces of gold. The geology and mineralized zones of a relatively small portion of the entire property area is displayed on the map on the following page. From that area, a total of just less than 2 million NI 43-101 ounces has been revealed. The various zones from which the company’s 43-101 resources have been calculated are listed in the following chart: The project would appear to have some potential to become an underground mine, especially in the Douay West Zone where more than 150,000 ounces have been outlined with a grade between 7.75 grams/tonne and 8.53 grams per tonne. But the potential to outline a very large TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. PO Box 780555, Maspeth, NY 11378 (718) 457-1426 March 9, 2012 Cop
yright @ 2012 TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 3 multimillion-oz. deposit from a super pit appears to be a distinct possibility if in fact a significant amount of gold mineralization exists between those various zones outlined thus far. Of course that will depend on additional drilling, but the trend of these zones clearly extends some 6 + kilometers from the North West Zone on the northwest to the Main Zone on the southeast. And, to the south side of this mineralized trend, no fewer than four zones have been identified to date. The distance between the southern and northern mineralized zones is on the order of 1½ to 2 kilometers. In fact, check out the various mineralized zones above. There would appear to be the potential to outline one major super pit that could host many millions of ounces of gold with higher-grade underground mining remaining a possibility for the future. Various higher-grade zones would add “sweeteners” to an overall deposit. Of course a lot more data points between these existing zones will need to be obtained before it is possible to start determining the economic viability of one super pit. But in the current environment, sub-one gram per tonne deposits are often very profitable, SUMMARY The upside would appear to be very large for this company’s project. In my view, the addition of an experienced mining executive to head up this company not only makes it a more serious candidate to move the project forward, but also gives the company the technical talent required to progress the Douay Project further and very possibly take it into production on its own, depending on a number of factors such as the size and scope of the project. Major mining companies are going to replace existing deposits that they are depleting on an ongoing basis. I watched another early-stage deposit grow from around 1 million ounces to what is now over 30 million ounces of gold, and the Douay looks similar in many ways to me. I’m talking of course of the Detour Lake Project, which was owned by Pelangio, which I recommended at 8 cents. Pelangio became one of the largest winners this newsletter has had in its 31+ year history. I’m not saying anything that large will emerge at Douay, but then again, I’m not saying it won’t. All I’m saying is that over time, assuming the company can retain its holding of this project without diluting TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. PO Box 780555, Maspeth, NY 11378 (718) 457-1426 March 9, 2012 Cop
yright @ 2012 TAYLOR HARD MONEY ADVISORS, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 4 existing shareholders into oblivion, the upside potential here appears to be enormous, compared to downside risks for investors who buy these shares at or around the current $0.25 price. The greatest risk for this company as well as any junior exploration company is that of potential dilution. Note that this company’s working capital position is rather small (around $2 million), but equity prices for the mining industry in general have not kept up with the price of gold and profits of senior mining companies. Of course there are all the other obvious risks inherent in junior exploration, including the uncertainty of what future drill campaigns will reveal. Another risk is one of illiquidity. As noted above, the stock is tightly held by institutions and management. Another risk is “time,” meaning the time you will need to tie up your capital before the investment pays off. These are all the normal risks involved with investing in highly speculative junior exploration stocks. But the prospect of outlining something huge in one of the best places to mine in the world due to political, infrastructure, and geological considerations, provides many advantages for this company’s project. And given my view that we are in a bull market of a lifetime and that this bull market has another 10 to 15 years to run, I believe the markets will not only price gold share in line with the multiples of other sectors, but will no doubt exceed other levels as the bull approaches maturity.