Emerging Graphene Technology Company

Hydrothermal Graphite Deposit Ammenable for Commercial Graphene Applications

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Message: Re: Some post CCB PEA thoughts
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Mar 05, 2016 03:51PM
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Mar 08, 2016 11:08AM
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Mar 08, 2016 08:52PM

I had not responded because I had not seen anything to respond to as I don't come to this site much anymore. However, I did look and the spreadsheet I was using was designed by someone I respected and I did not update the variables with the PEA numbers. Those variables have now been updated and I will list them and post the changes so everyone can see this was not about maliciously influencing people as Hoov may want you to think.

Variable: Original #PEA CorrectionEffect

Average Grade 3.14%4.05% This actually increases NPV further

Cutoff Grade 0.60%0.90% This actually increases NPV further

Stripping ratio1.124.05 w/o overburden this decreases NPV

Ore Production rate: This was manipulated by me to yield 60k tons per year

Mill recovery 90%75% This decreases NPV

Operating days 355350 Slight decrease in NPV*

Mill Operating costs 1241 This decreases NPV

The operating days also saw production of 89 in year 2, 178 in year 3 and 266 in year 4 while RPA had full 350 days of operation in year 1 which helps increase the NPV.

Of note, ZEN will get $368M USD worth of tax credit in the first 3 years which is reflected in the PEA but not here. This would increase NPV even further. However, even without those tax credits factored in, with all these numbers updated, I still obtain an NPV of $3.8B USD and an IRR of 107%. In Canadian dollars, at 35% exchange, this still yields $5.1B or now $85 CAN per share.

I guess I have to say thank you Hoov for making me look at these numbers better.

As I like to say on SI...CHOO CHOO!!

Glorieux

Technical Parameters Year 1 2 3 4 5
Average Grade 4.05% PRODUCTION
Cutoff Grade 0.90% Operating days/year - 350 350 350 350
Reserve Level at Cutoff 45,200,000 Waste (t/day) - 22,883 22,883 22,883 22,883
Contained Value 1,830,600 Ore (t/day) - 5,650 5,650 5,650 5,650
Stripping Ratio 4.05 Waste Prestripping - 8,008,875 8,008,875 8,008,875 8,008,875
Ore Production Rate (t/d) 5,650 Ore milled - 1,977,500 1,977,500 1,977,500 1,977,500
Mill Recovery 75% Ore grade - 4.05% 4.05% 4.05% 4.05%
Operating days/year 350 Mill recovery (%) - 75% 75% 75% 75%
Mine Life (years) 20 Graphite recovered - 60,067 60,067 60,067 60,067
Remaining recoverable Graphite 1,141,265 1,081,198 1,021,132 961,065 900,998
Financial Parameters REVENUE
Current Graphite Price ($/t) 13,000 Graphite price 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000
Mine Operating Cost+G&A+Selling ($/t) 21 Gross income - 780,865,313 780,865,313 780,865,313 780,865,313
Mill Operating Cost ($/t) 41 OPERATING COSTS
Total Operating Cost ($/t) 62 Mine Operating Cost ($/t) 21 21 21 21
Mine Capital Cost 100,000,000 Total Mining Cost - 209,713,875 209,713,875 209,713,875 209,713,875
Mill Capital Cost 200,000,000 Mill Operating Cost ($/t) 41 41 41 41
Total Capital Cost 300,000,000 Total Milling Cost - 409,441,375 81,077,500 81,077,500 81,077,500
Working Capital 25,000,000 Total Operating Cost - 619,155,250 290,791,375 290,791,375 290,791,375
Real Risk-adjusted Discount Rate (%) 8% OPERATING MARGIN
Operating Margin 161,710,063 490,073,938 490,073,938 490,073,938
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
Mine/Mill Capital 255,000,000 45,000,000 - - -
Working Capital 21,250,000 3,750,000 - - -
Total Capex Cash Flow 276,250,000 48,750,000 - - -
NET CASH FLOW
Net Cash Flow (276,250,000) 112,960,063 490,073,938 490,073,938 490,073,938
NPV @ Discount Rate 3,778,744,593
IRR 107%
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