Emerging Graphene Technology Company

Hydrothermal Graphite Deposit Ammenable for Commercial Graphene Applications

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Message: Some post CCB PEA thoughts

CCB now has 45 days to file their complete PEA on Sedar. This document will need to show how they obtained those numbers. I do look forward to reading that document and also reading how they obtained a figure of $13k USD per ton of high purity graphite. Most of us knew ZEN played it way too safe when they used $7,500 and if CCB can substantiate the $13k USD per ton, that will be great news for ZEN shareholders.

In CCB's case, they had to use a fairly high selling price as they could not get their costs down below $8k. If they had used the same market data that ZEN did, their project would of showed no economical value. It barely has any now using $13k USD per ton since all their resource is inferred.

We all knew that ZEN low balled the PEA. The $7,500 per ton was low and they can certainly produce more that 30k tons per year. The 30k ton per year came from using a market penetration of 7% of a high end market of about 440k tons per year. Now, ZEN's graphite is as good as or better than synthetic and our cost of production is 1 third the cost of synthetic and we are green. With all those advantages, ZEN should be able to penetrate the market by a much bigger margin that 7%. If you only double that to 14% and use the $13k per ton, the NPV jumps to $4.8B or $80 per share. Even if we trade at 10% of NPV, that would still give us $8 per share as a trading price. The IRR would jump to 103%.

However, if everyone new what the real value for ZEN was, there would be a lot more hands out for their share. Probably part of the reason why everything is being kept quiet.

Here is the Excel page showing NPV and IRR, hope it shows up ok:

With those numbers, the Choo Choo will be just fine!!


Technical Parameters Year 1 2 3 4 5
Average Grade 3.14% PRODUCTION
Cutoff Grade 0.60% Operating days/year - 89 178 266 355
Reserve Level at Cutoff 45,200,000 Waste (t/day) - 6,720 6,720 6,720 6,720
Contained Value 1,418,000 Ore (t/day) - 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000
Stripping Ratio 1.12 Waste Prestripping - 596,400 1,192,800 1,789,200 2,385,600
Ore Production Rate (t/d) 6,000 Ore milled - 532,500 1,065,000 1,597,500 2,130,000
Mill Recovery 90% Ore grade - 3.14% 3.14% 3.14% 3.14%
Operating days/year 355 Mill recovery (%) - 90% 90% 90% 90%
Mine Life (years) 20 Graphite recovered - 15,035 30,070 45,105 60,140
Remaining recoverable Graphite 1,052,441 1,037,407 1,007,337 962,232 902,093
Financial Parameters REVENUE
Current Graphite Price ($/t) 13,000 Graphite price 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000
Mine Operating Cost+G&A+Selling ($/t) 21 Gross income - 195,453,418 390,906,836 586,360,254 781,813,673
Mill Operating Cost ($/t) 12 OPERATING COSTS
Total Operating Cost ($/t) 33 Mine Operating Cost ($/t) 21 21 21 21
Mine Capital Cost 100,000,000 Total Mining Cost - 23,706,900 22,365,000 71,120,700 94,827,600
Mill Capital Cost 200,000,000 Mill Operating Cost ($/t) 12 12 12 12
Total Capital Cost 300,000,000 Total Milling Cost - 13,546,800 12,780,000 19,170,000 25,560,000
Working Capital 25,000,000 Total Operating Cost - 37,253,700 35,145,000 90,290,700 120,387,600
Real Risk-adjusted Discount Rate (%) 8% OPERATING MARGIN
Operating Margin 158,199,718 355,761,836 496,069,554 661,426,073
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
Mine/Mill Capital 255,000,000 45,000,000 - - -
Working Capital 21,250,000 3,750,000 - - -
Total Capex Cash Flow 276,250,000 48,750,000 - - -
NET CASH FLOW
Net Cash Flow (276,250,000) 109,449,718 355,761,836 496,069,554 661,426,073
NPV @ Discount Rate 4,788,341,234
IRR 103%
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