Well thought out yet conservative IMO.
The CE sales chart EDIG showed us at the SHM was not a straight line upward, it was EXPONENTIAL. $40 Bln is the 2009 guestimate from RP that I posted a while back, arrived at from various industry sources, and 2006 was $30 Bln.
The economy is on the right course, and their are more CE gadgets comming out than we can keep up with. That's a 33.33% gain DURING A RECESSION.
My swag is more than double yours.
Nice input on your part!