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Message: General Comments on Trading and House Positions

It has certainly been an interesting week for INT. The trade was dominated by sellers on Monday but buyers returned on Tuesday and today, although today's trade was much more tepid. The last two days of trading have been, at least for me, "encouraging" ... as encouraging as it can be when the share price is as low as it is. Four cents, based on this weeks trading so far, is looking really solid.

Perhaps it's not even relevant anymore, but I don't think much of what happened on Monday had anything to do with the removal of INT from the Venture Select Index. Some may recall in August 2012 that INT was similarly removed from the Venture 30 Index and there was no significant decrease in price or increase in volume. Taking a quick peek at the trading activity on Monday for the other companies that were also removed from the index, one can easily compare:

  • TSX-V: BAR ... up 4.41%
  • TSX-V: GCU ... down 2% on lower than normal volume
  • TSX-V: NKL ... down 4.76% on lower than normal volume
  • TSX-V: SGN ... even, normal volume
  • TSX-V: NZ ... even, below average volume
  • TSX-V: UGD ... down 6.25%, somewhat above average volume

None of these come close to comparing to INT, down 33% on above-average volume. Many were down, but not down double digits or on big volume. It is unlikely that any funds holding the companies were that much heavier weighted on INT than the others listed above. I did not see any stop losses triggered during the trade, so there were other factors at play. Some parties clearly needed to exit positions ... or perhaps were forced to. The volume, while significant and higher than normal (50 day weight-average volume for INT is about 644,000 shares), was not high enough to constitute a sign that everyone was abandoning ship. It is, in comparison to INT's history, still somewhat small compared to other high volume days. The aggregrate trading volume this week, to date, still represents less than 3% of INT's float.

There continue to be games played. TD and Instinet are mostly responsible, as has been the case for several months now. The order book on both sides has been stacked with many TD bids and asks, certainly not all of which are retail, and which I would wager might be pulled quickly depending on how the trade action were to proceed. TD especially has been quite happy to trade back and forth to themselves.

The net house positions for today, as well as an aggregrate view of the last three days, are posted below. Note for example the weight-average share price today was 5 cents, which supports the fact that buyers were driving the trade (i.e. the asks at 5 cents were getting hit as opposed to the bids). Yesterday the WVAP was 4.8 cents ... again, showing that the asks at 5 cents were getting hit more than the bids at 4.5 cents.

I am expecting news soon on the Crede financing. It will be 4 weeks tomorrow since the financing was first announced. The recent share price movement may have put pressure on the terms of the deal in the sense of the warrant strike price and debenture conversion price. It will be very interesting to see the market reaction, if those terms (10 cent conversion price, 12 cent warrant strike price) hold up. That would certainly be a vote of confidence for INT on the part of the financier, given how far away the market price is from those prices.

Respectfully,

BUMBLEBEE

Consolidated Net House Positions 17-Jul-13
Broker ID Broker Name Buy VWAP Buy Vol Buy Vol % Buy Value Sell VWAP Sell Vol Sell Vol % Sell Value Net Vol Net Value
7 TD Securities Inc. 0.052 84,000 13.05% 4,400 0.051 321,600 49.96% 16,395 -237,600 -11,995
99 JitneyTrade Inc. 0 0.00% 0 0.05 81,000 12.58% 4,050 -81,000 -4,050
22 Fidelity Clearing Canada ULC 0 0.00% 0 0.05 40,000 6.21% 2,000 -40,000 -2,000
79 CIBC World Markets Inc. 0.049 24,600 3.82% 1,215 0.047 48,000 7.46% 2,250 -23,400 -1,035
42 Global Maxfin Capital Inc. 0 0.00% 0 0.045 5,000 0.78% 225 -5,000 -225
62 Haywood Securities Inc. 0.047 3,465 0.54% 164 0.05 4,300 0.67% 215 -835 -51
1 Anonymous 0.05 60,000 9.32% 3,000 0.051 55,000 8.54% 2,805 5,000 195
13 Instinet Canada Limited 0.048 59,000 9.16% 2,805 0.052 49,000 7.61% 2,550 10,000 255
46 Macquarie Private Wealth Inc. 0.054 15,000 2.33% 805 0 0.00% 0 15,000 805
124 Questrade Inc. 0.049 23,800 3.70% 1,170 0.045 5,570 0.87% 251 18,230 919
85 Scotia Capital Inc. 0.052 43,500 6.76% 2,275 0.05 10,000 1.55% 500 33,500 1,775
2 RBC Capital Markets 0.05 75,400 11.71% 3,770 0.049 22,295 3.46% 1,103 53,105 2,667
80 National Bank Financial Inc. 0.05 255,000 39.61% 12,850 0.055 2,000 0.31% 110 253,000 12,740
Totals 0.05 643,765 100.00% 32,454 0.05 643,765 100.00% 32,454 0 0
Consolidated Net House Positions 15 - 17 July 2013
Broker ID Broker Name Buy VWAP Buy Vol Buy Vol % Buy Value Sell VWAP Sell Vol Sell Vol % Sell Value Net Vol Net Value
9 BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. 0.048 554,500 5.47% 26,368 0.046 1,400,451 13.83% 64,077 -845,951 -37,709
79 CIBC World Markets Inc. 0.044 407,600 4.02% 18,045 0.044 823,000 8.12% 36,463 -415,400 -18,417
7 TD Securities Inc. 0.045 3,067,800 30.29% 137,036 0.046 3,364,042 33.21% 153,152 -296,242 -16,116
13 Instinet Canada Limited 0.045 1,630,000 16.09% 73,775 0.047 1,783,000 17.60% 83,840 -153,000 -10,065
22 Fidelity Clearing Canada ULC 0.045 2,500 0.02% 113 0.048 80,000 0.79% 3,800 -77,500 -3,687
62 Haywood Securities Inc. 0.044 17,599 0.17% 782 0.049 28,576 0.28% 1,407 -10,977 -625
42 Global Maxfin Capital Inc. 0 0.00% 0 0.045 5,000 0.05% 225 -5,000 -225
59 PI Financial Corp. 0 0.00% 0 0.04 3,300 0.03% 132 -3,300 -132
39 Merrill Lynch Canada Inc. 0 0.00% 0 0.045 1,000 0.01% 45 -1,000 -45
99 JitneyTrade Inc. 0.045 348,000 3.44% 15,585 0.048 349,000 3.45% 16,735 -1,000 -1,150
46 Macquarie Private Wealth Inc. 0.054 15,000 0.15% 805 0.045 15,600 0.15% 702 -600 103
28 BBS Securities Inc. 0.04 5,000 0.05% 200 0.04 5,000 0.05% 200 0 0
36 W.D. Latimer Co. Limited 0.04 2,000 0.02% 80 0 0.00% 0 2,000 80
81 HSBC Securities (Canada) Inc. 0.048 16,910 0.17% 816 0.042 9,550 0.09% 397 7,360 419
85 Scotia Capital Inc. 0.047 1,058,534 10.45% 49,915 0.046 1,041,830 10.28% 47,451 16,704 2,464
19 Desjardins Securities Inc. 0.041 74,000 0.73% 3,038 0.047 40,000 0.39% 1,875 34,000 1,163
124 Questrade Inc. 0.047 125,800 1.24% 5,940 0.045 63,570 0.63% 2,891 62,230 3,049
58 Qtrade Securities Inc. 0.046 124,450 1.23% 5,780 0 0.00% 0 124,450 5,780
95 Wolverton Securities Ltd. 0.045 135,000 1.33% 6,075 0 0.00% 0 135,000 6,075
1 Anonymous 0.046 987,000 9.74% 45,175 0.047 791,000 7.81% 37,310 196,000 7,865
11 Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. 0.05 256,000 2.53% 12,800 0 0.00% 0 256,000 12,800
2 RBC Capital Markets 0.046 659,482 6.51% 30,614 0.044 256,856 2.54% 11,203 402,626 19,411
80 National Bank Financial Inc. 0.05 642,500 6.34% 31,828 0.042 68,900 0.68% 2,863 573,600 28,965
Totals 0.046 10,129,675 100.00% 464,767 0.046 10,129,675 100.00% 464,767 0 0
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