I wasn't aware you were communicating in metrics . Sorry, I understood your words and context as judging peoples actions. I am not conversant in the language of metrics so please forgive.
Regarding metrics . I think events external and internal to a company as well as its' fundamentals are a reliable method for forcasting. ( an educated guess)
I know there are a lot of folks who enjoy metrics:plotting and graphing. To me it's like handiapping is to gambling.
Enjoy yourself, again forgive the comments.
Al
ps does anyone know if investors ie W. Buffet , C. Ichan use metrics ?