An excellent and very fair synopsis if I may say so. I ONLY rely on official announcements by a company, not hearsay, and that has served me well over the years. Confidence has been shattered here, and on the assumption that the best news is already out, then the SP could well retrace to the levels you suggest in the near term, IMHO. The company will have to work hard to restore confidence here, and I note some references are being made to Vilcoro, which is not a good sign.....