OT; Back to Silver Fundamentals
posted on
Dec 09, 2013 12:56AM
Beyond the typical underlying changes in money supply there are very important elements of demand that continue to push the price of physical silver higher and higher. This is despite the fact that silver has been money for much longer then gold.
One element is the elasticity of demand for silver, particularly in the manufacturing of electronics.
Silver is the best conductor of electricity known to man and even at a current prices, it is very inexpensive for use in consumer electronics.
Silver Inelasticity
Silver cannot and will not be replaced by the industrial sector as a conductor of electricity for two reasons: 1) it is relatively inexpensive, and 2) it is the best product for the job.
When a computer manufacturer begins to source components to build its consumer products, the company buys tons of glass, pounds of silicon, and tiny amounts of silver.
When you buy a computer that costs $500-$1000, it contains, at most, 1 gram of silver. Most computers contain fractions of that amount, for a maximum cost of $.60.
Even if silver were to explode in price from $18 per ounce to $180 per ounce (which is a dramatic change) the price of the silver component in a computer would grow from $.60 to $6.
Thus, even after silver explodes in price, the computer manufacturers will still be very much willing to use silver since $6 on a $500 computer is just 1.2% of the price.
Technological Improvements
Silver's demand can easily be contrasted with the emphasis on technology during the past half century.
Prior to World War II, very few homes owned electronic devices and silver's industrial use was limited to only photograph development.
In contrast, the post-war family owned microwaves, TVs, toasters and other appliances including washer and dryers – which all contain silver.
And even in the past decade, the average consumption of silver by the average person has grown.
Today, each person owns a cellular phone, TV, computer, monitor, printer, router, and a myriad of computing peripherals that all contain silver.
It is without question that demand for silver as an industrial metal has exploded with technological achievements - but the biggest use for silver is just now being uncovered.
Government Stockpiling
Many argue that gold is held by government and central banks by proxy, as the line between the two becomes evermore foggy. Therefore, gold is the better monetary asset. Central banks and governments don't stockpile silver - mainly because there is not enough to accumulate. More importantly, silver isn’t stockpiled because the resulting price adjustment could break the financial system.
What is fascinating is that, even in the realm of vast money creation and decades of dangerous policy that threaten the world financial system and underlying economy, central banks are still held to such a high standard. In effect, they are deemed immutable. The fact is that central banks fail right alongside the currencies they create from nothing.
Today's biggest technological feats are all painting a pretty picture for silver. They also serve to aid in the establishment of a much higher market price in the future - with or without monetary inflation or the stockpiling of central banking gone awry.