Verde Potash Files Updated Preliminary Economic Assessment
posted on
Feb 29, 2012 09:10AM
Cerrado Verde Potash, Apatita Phosphate, Gold, Vanadium, Copper and Zinc
Verde Potash Files Updated Preliminary Economic Assessment Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Improved Recovery, Accelerated Expansion and 4 Mtpy Production Scenario
TORONTO, Feb. 29, 2012/CNW/ - Verde Potash Plc (TSX-V: NPK) ("Verde" or the "Company") is pleased to report the filing on SEDAR of its Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA") for the production of conventional potash: potassium chloride ("KCl").
"Verde's KCl project has a capital expenditure ("Capex") lower than most proposed greenfield projects, being comparable in cost to brownfield expansions. Given its open pit nature, construction is expected to take 2 years and ramp up to full production expected to be measured in weeks, versus underground potash mines that take around a decade from construction to full production," said Cristiano Veloso, President & CEO.
During the process of final assembly of the PEA, optimizations were conducted which provided improved results to those announced on January 31, 2012. The key modifications were the reduction in time between production phases to 2 years, achievement of slightly better recoveries, use of contract mining for Phase 1 of production reducing upfront Capex and the study of an upside production scenario of 4 million tonnes per year KCl production ("Mtpy"). The PEA was prepared by SRK Consulting ("SRK") for Verde's wholly-owned Cerrado Verde Project ("Cerrado Verde" or the "Project") located in Minas Gerais State, Brazil.
Key Economic Highlights
Base Case Scenario Total Production: 3 Mtpy |
Upside Case Scenario Total Production: 4 Mtpy |
|||||
Phase 1: 0.6 Mtpy |
Phase 2: + 1.0 Mtpy |
Phase 3: + 1.4 Mtpy |
Phase 1: 1.0 Mtpy |
Phase 2: + 1.5 Mtpy |
Phase 3: + 1.5 Mtpy |
|
Capex per Phase (USD million) | 598 | 732 | 1,008 | 868 | 1,120 | 1,105 |
Capex for Total Production (USD million) (excludes sustaining capital) |
2,338 | 3,095 | ||||
Operating Costs (USD/t KCl) | 285 | 289 | ||||
IRR (%) | 27 | 27 | ||||
After Tax NPV (USD million), at 10% discount rate |
3,367 | 4,359 |
The PEA was based on the following assumptions:
Improved Recovery
Process recoveries have increased consistently over the last 2 years as it advanced from laboratory to semi-commercial scale. Recovery increased from 66.8% to 70%.
Accelerated expansion
Verde, SRK and consultants have decided to change the time between production phases from 4 and 5 years to 2 years.
Contract Mining
The PEA assumes the use of contract mining for phase 1 of the operation to eliminate the upfront cost of acquiring a mining fleet.
Market study
The Company has completed a market study based on information provided by CRU International ("CRU") and Agroconsult Consultoria & Marketing on the selling price of granular KCl, taking into account the total impact of transportation costs of competitive products. On top of the price charged by the producer at mine gate, Brazilian blenders pay approximately US $173-249/tonne to import KCl from Canadato their individual facilities.
Product pricing for the market study is derived from the granular KCl CFR BrazilPrice Forecast provided by CRU International Report, 2012 (in US $/tonne):
Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
CFR Brazil | 470 | 470 | 480 | 495 | 545 | 590 | 635 | 700 | 650 | 620 | 605 | 605 |
Freight Costs to Brazil | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
FOB Vancouver | 437 | 437 | 447 | 462 | 512 | 557 | 602 | 667 | 617 | 587 | 572 | 572 |
FOB: Free on Board;
CFR: Product costs and freight to a port of destination, excluding insurance.
The prices of granular KCl are generally higher than standard KCl (difference of approximately US $15per tonne) due to steeper production costs (source: Ferticon.com, 2012). In the second half of 2011, granular KCl price CFR Brazilwas US $550. For greater detail on the market study, please refer to the PEA.
Resource Base
Verde's current mineral resource estimate:
Cut-off grade (% K2O) | Tonnage (Mt) | Average Grade (% K2O) | |||||||||
Total Indicated | 7.5 | 71.08 | 9.22 | ||||||||
Total Inferred | 7.5 | 2,763.80 | 8.91 |
Next Steps
Verde is currently working towards a definitive feasibility study for KCl production, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2012.