Re: My Positive View
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Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta
Message: Re: My Positive View
Honestly,
Algar was the only way to create cashflow. I'm agree with Krissy about debt but in near term we’re ok. If Algar & POD1 can produce 16000 bpd with the actual netback, we should see SP near 3 $ by the end of this year.
There’s still some risk like a double dip but even with that we should survive
| Admin+Debt | Annual Earning | EPS | SP (EPS X10) | ||||||||||
| WTI | Netback bitum. | Convent+Ref. | Corporate Netback | Daily Expense | 8000 bpd | 16000 bpd | 20000 bpd | 8000 bpd | 16000 bpd | 20000 bpd | 8000 bpd | 16000 bpd | 20000 bpd |
| 40 | $16.80 | $8.00 | $24.80 | $311,111 | -$40,576,000 | $30,848,000 | $66,560,000 | -$0.09 | $0.07 | $0.15 | -$0.90 | $0.70 | $1.50 |
| 60 | $25.20 | $8.00 | $33.20 | $311,111 | -$16,384,000 | $79,232,000 | $127,040,000 | -$0.04 | $0.18 | $0.30 | -$0.40 | $1.80 | $3.00 |
| 65 | $27.30 | $8.00 | $35.30 | $311,111 | -$10,336,000 | $91,328,000 | $142,160,000 | -$0.02 | $0.21 | $0.33 | -$0.20 | $2.10 | $3.30 |
| 70 | $29.40 | $8.00 | $37.40 | $311,111 | -$4,288,000 | $103,424,000 | $157,280,000 | -$0.01 | $0.24 | $0.37 | -$0.10 | $2.40 | $3.70 |
| 75 | $31.50 | $8.00 | $39.50 | $311,111 | $1,760,000 | $115,520,000 | $172,400,000 | $0.00 | $0.27 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $2.70 | $4.00 |
| 80 | $33.60 | $8.00 | $41.60 | $311,111 | $7,808,000 | $127,616,000 | $187,520,000 | $0.02 | $0.30 | $0.44 | $0.20 | $3.00 | $4.40 |
| 85 | $35.70 | $8.00 | $43.70 | $311,111 | $13,856,000 | $139,712,000 | $202,640,000 | $0.03 | $0.32 | $0.47 | $0.30 | $3.20 | $4.70 |
| 90 | $37.80 | $8.00 | $45.80 | $311,111 | $19,904,000 | $151,808,000 | $217,760,000 | $0.05 | $0.35 | $0.51 | $0.50 | $3.50 | $5.10 |
| 95 | $39.90 | $8.00 | $47.90 | $311,111 | $25,952,000 | $163,904,000 | $232,880,000 | $0.06 | $0.38 | $0.54 | $0.60 | $3.80 | $5.40 |
| 100 | $42.00 | $8.00 | $50.00 | $311,111 | $32,000,000 | $176,000,000 | $248,000,000 | $0.07 | $0.41 | $0.58 | $0.70 | $4.10 | $5.80 |
| 125 | $52.50 | $8.00 | $60.50 | $311,111 | $62,240,000 | $236,480,000 | $323,600,000 | $0.14 | $0.55 | $0.75 | $1.40 | $5.50 | $7.50 |
| 150 | $63.00 | $8.00 | $71.00 | $311,111 | $92,480,000 | $296,960,000 | $399,200,000 | $0.22 | $0.69 | $0.93 | $2.20 | $6.90 | $9.30 |
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