Something to chew on before Q2 numbers:
Average price of bitumen;
Q2 ~$54/bbl
Q1 ~$45/bbl
This is ~20% increase in revenue in Q2. If the cost did not increase too much we may see ~15% increase in cash flow in Q2 in comparison to Q1. Do not confuse this with the free (available) cash flow.
We will be hit by 10 to 15 cents/sh of refinancing charges and hedge losses on the earnings balance sheet which maybe offset by the assets sale.
So far in Q3 (July) the bitumen price drop to ~$48/bbl just slightly below of total cost including the interest and production CAPEX.