Re: EV-internal combustion price parity forecast for 2023 – report
in response to
by
posted on
May 14, 2020 03:06PM
Reading your note, Pavel, before reading JD's response so I may be stepping on his reply, but I like your critical eye on this issue. You made some good points. Here in Nevada, for instance, the DMV ( now closed temporarily due to Corona virus ) is requiring the public to report their odometer readings on vehicles being retagged. This is a preliminary step by the State to prepare for taxing vehicles that don't use gasoline since gasoline added taxes are an important source of revenue for Nevada, and for all states. They will be prepared to tax BEVs based on the mileage in the future and that move by Nevada will probably happen very soon, this year or next... especially with taxation revenues so low due to all the Corona virus issues causing economic chaos.
As for your 8 to 10 year life estimate on BEVs, I might find an argument with you there. There should be less wear and tear on BEVs since they don't use oil and since they have quite a bit lesser number of parts to wear out. Another factor is that the technology for battery recycling is improving and that should be an important way to make BEVs more ecnomical. In addition the battery technology continues to improve itself.
Another response to your statement about ICE vehicles lasting 16 to 20 years.... Pavel!! That was true in the 1950s and 1960's... but today????? I don't buy that at all, Pavel. 10 years on a car made since 2000 is a great stretch, but 16 to 20... not in the cars I see. Most cars over 10 years old today are one step away from being "junkers" or, often as not, already there. JMO Thanks so much, Pavel for sharing your views here. We need your critical eye on things. okiedo