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Message: Re: Not good.

Cal
Mar 08, 2022 09:11AM

Cal, I believe that the events in transition in Chile that are possibly leading to nationalization of copper and lithium mining in Chile ( think:  SQM ) have at least some, probably a significant amount, of the reason for LAC being up today at this moment over $2 A share.

https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/battery-metals-investing/lithium-investing/top-lithium-producers/

 

https://www.mining.com/chile-a-step-closer-to-nationalizing-copper-and-lithium/?utm_source=Daily_Digest&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=MNG-DIGESTS&utm_content=chile-a-step-closer-to-nationalizing-copper-and-lithium

 

https://papertribune.com/politics/a-former-chilean-socialist-minister-considers-delirious-the-nationalization-of-mining-industry/

 

This movement toward nationalization of mining in Chile just serves as a reminder at how vulnerable mining in South America is to the vicissitudes of political shifts in the wind.  As for Argentina and LAC's operations in Argentina, Argentina is developing strong political and economic ties with both Russia and with China and has done so for years as both of these Eurasian countries seek to enterweave their influence into South America in economical, political and military measures.  Argentina still covets the Falklands:

"The Falklands War (Spanish: Guerra de las Malvinas) was a 10-week undeclared war between Argentina and the United Kingdom in 1982 over two British dependent territories in the South Atlantic: the Falkland Islands and its territorial dependency, South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands."

Russia and China both have indicated that they support Argentina in its continued claim to the Guerra de las Malvinas.  The Bromance between Chile and Russia and the Bromance between Chile and China incorporates a Christmas shopping list from all parties and all 3 parties are salivating at the possibilities of strenghening their relationship.  

List of Nationalizations previously done in Argentina:

Argentina[edit]

One of the more recent examples was back in 2012 by President Cristina Fernandez:

 

Ignoring Critics, Argentina To Nationalize Oil Firm

https://www.npr.org/2012/04/19/150959215/ignoring-critics-argentina-to-nationalize-oil-firm

 

Below are somewhat dated (published in 2018)articles that discuss both Russian and Chinese moves into Argentina.  The goals haven'tchanged much from when these articles were published.  Subesequent events just reinforce the goals of gaining influence and power 

in Argentina by both Russia and China:

https://carnegieendowment.org/2018/05/03/russia-playing-geopolitical-game-in-latin-america-pub-76228

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-argentina-usa-idUSKBN1FS3G6

 

 A not so dated article is shown below from earlier this year:

"Argentina and China also commemorated the 50th anniversary of their reestablishment of diplomatic relations, declaring 2022 the "year of Argentinian-Chinese friendship and cooperation." 

https://www.dw.com/en/argentina-and-china-seal-silk-road-deal/a-60679278

 

 

 

UK rebukes China for supporting Argentina’s Falklands claim

https://apnews.com/article/europe-china-asia-beijing-xi-jinping-df1ca5eebfd3b988813f22bba0b3a7f0

 

Russia has eyes on developing military aspirations in South America, as evidenced in this article from January of this year:

https://www.rt.com/russia/547417-putin-military-plans-cuba/

And, of course, the list goes on and on regarding both Chinese and Russian aspirations in South America in general and in Argentina in specific.  The issue of the Malvinas is an unresolved and strategic issue to Argentina and she will look for political, economic and military support on this issue wherever it is offered.  Russia and China are two big donors of that support.

 

In consdieration of these long term and unresolved political issues in Argentina and in consideration of the instability of political vicissitudes in Argentina over many decades it would seem that Jon Evans decision to form a separation between LAC activities and organizations in Argentina vs LAC mining in the US at Thacker Pass is a remarkably salient and sagacious move on his part. I think Jon has an essential appreciation of just what can happen in the world of Argentinian politics and he knows full well that any LAC mining project proposed at Thacker Pass or anywhere else in the U.S. will not likely proceed to fruition if the U.S. government seens the Chinese or the Russian flag waving in the wind of such a project.  The separation is a necessary move forward in my opinion.

My personal hope is that he doesn't waste any time in putting that proposal for separtion of LAC into two separate entities and that this is accomplished forthwith and without further delay.  JMO

Even the proposal for nationalization of lithium mining in Chile brings up the question:  "Could this happen in Argentina at some point in the future?"  See the list above regarding multiple times Argentina has nationalized an industry.  Petroleum is only one of the latest to befall that fait in Argentina.

Way to go, Jon.  Lets get on with it!

Okiedo

 

 

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Mar 08, 2022 06:42PM
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Cal
Mar 09, 2022 09:31AM
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