Statistically, I think I read that the documented pecentage is right at 50%. Most of those reversals are made in a Vacuum; I don't believe our's will be. I think there are enough extraneous considerations in our particular case that our odds fall short of those historical norms.
I hope I'm wrong. I like the blatant and overt screwups of Gildea, and I like Otterson's persuasive arguments in exposing and correcting them.
Until we prevail at the Commission, AND the Executive Branch turns down further consideration, I see this as less than even odds.
Politics and Business makes for powerful and secretive bedfellows.
We'll know soon enough.