Wow Happy,
What a list of conjecture, theory, speculation, assertion, mights, ifs, maybes, chances, etc. I like the possibility of some of this and the mystery and intrigue is entertaining, but as for expressing that it would be a bad time to be out of this stock any time this year... well it's possible but, given the market, not likely. It won't matter what NOT is doing if the market does a full "flush".... and you won't want to be holding onto NOT or anything else for that matter if that happens. You've already seen it once and the next one will be even more ugly as we'll start from lower sp's. It's just not smart to take that position. A vigilant eye on what the market is doing is equally important to what NOT is doing. I realize that these are your feelings and opinions and that you are entitled to them, but it is not a good mindset for anyone new to this game to adopt without a lot of DD, thought and deciding for themselves.