China,gold and iron ore.
posted on
Jun 02, 2010 04:37PM
NI 43-101 Update (September 2012): 11.1 Mt @ 1.68% Ni, 0.87% Cu, 0.89 gpt Pt and 3.09 gpt Pd and 0.18 gpt Au (Proven & Probable Reserves) / 8.9 Mt @ 1.10% Ni, 1.14% Cu, 1.16 gpt Pt and 3.49 gpt Pd and 0.30 gpt Au (Inferred Resource)
Hello to all,
Check your drawers for those old cufflinks and see if you still have Grandma’s old jewelry packed away in the basement because you may actually own more gold than China.
China holds just 1.6 percent of its currency reserves in gold, compared to 70 percent by the U.S. and a 66 percent allocation by Germany, according to Credit Suisse. The Bank of Japan holds just 2.5 percent in bullion, notes the firm.
“There are no safe big-cap currencies,” wrote Andrew Garthwaite, Credit Suisse’s head of global equity strategy in a note to clients. “The real gold price is still cent off its all time high and the behavior of gold is not yet typical of a bubble.”
Garthwaite, who sits on the firm’s global strategy team, recommends buying gold stocks like Newmont Mining [NEM 55.71 1.07 (+1.96%) ], noting that if China and Japan were to put just 10 percent of their reserves in gold, the “increase in demand for gold would be 3 ½ times annual mine production.”
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Gold [GCC1 1222.7001 -2.10 (-0.17%) ] and the Gold SPDR Gold Trust [GLD 119.78 -0.13 (-0.11%) ] rose today as stock indices bounced between gains and losses. Gold climbed 3 percent last week, bringing its 2010 gain to 11 percent as regular investors diversify away from Euro-denominated assets and look for shelter from volatile U.S. equity investments.
China’s miniscule allocation to gold right now is “crazy,” said Tim Seymour, founder of EmergingMoney.com and a ‘Fast Money’ trader. “There’s no reason for them to not increase those holdings.”
Despite a 26 percent jump in 12 months, many Wall Street strategists continue to recommend increasing gold investments, but none of them must count China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange as clients.
“Given the ongoing European sovereign debt issues, is there any reason to believe gold is overvalued relative to those currencies?” wrote John Roque, WJB Capital Group managing director. “Since gold is a currency and not a commodity, gold’s bullish action merely reflects what paper currencies are not worth.”