Aiming to become the global leader in chip-scale photonic solutions by deploying Optical Interposer technology to enable the seamless integration of electronics and photonics for a broad range of vertical market applications

Free
Message: The $70-Club calculations
20
Jul 06, 2015 07:30AM
11
Jul 06, 2015 10:10AM
3
Jul 06, 2015 02:49PM
8
Jul 06, 2015 02:56PM
4
Jul 06, 2015 03:22PM

Jul 06, 2015 03:45PM
1
Jul 06, 2015 03:53PM
3
Jul 06, 2015 03:56PM
2
Jul 06, 2015 03:58PM
1
Jul 06, 2015 04:02PM
3
Jul 06, 2015 04:47PM

Jul 06, 2015 04:51PM

Jul 06, 2015 07:49PM
11
Jul 07, 2015 04:16AM
1
Jul 07, 2015 11:41AM

What am I missing re your observation that roughly 1% of market would get the SP to $70 when you use 8% in your formula as shown below?

Global semiconductor market in 2016: $355 billions

Amount of shares in 2016: 250.000.000 (fully diluted, together with some more shares for “happy bankers”)

P/E-ratio: 60 (according to ARM using a similar license model)

Revenue: 8% (according to the Pellegino-reports)

Now let’s do a rough calculation excluding NRE, costs and taxes- here we go:

$70 / ($355,000,000,000 x 0.08 / $250,000,000 x 60) = 0.01

As you see, from a straight mathematical point of view (no hype, no future anticipation etc. considered) the journey from $1.60 to $70 will take as long as it will take to gain market penetration of roughly just 1%.

So this will be the point when the $70-Club opens its doors: 1% of the semiconductor market using Poet-technology. Everyone who believes this can happen- welcome to the club right now.

Pecos

6
Jul 07, 2015 02:22PM
1
Jul 07, 2015 02:42PM
13
Jul 07, 2015 02:43PM
Share
New Message
Please login to post a reply