"That means 2000+ patient years just in the last year, right? Did we get 2000 patient years between Novembre 2015 and March 2018? Probably. I think we're over 4000 patient years."
Sure, it's possible BETonMACE is over 4000 patient years. But it's equally possible that it is under 4000 and possibly still under 3600 at this point. The big unknown of the 3 D's (Dropouts/Discontinuations/Deaths) could have big effects on the rate of patient year accumulation. Dropouts are voluntary. Discontinuations are at the discretion of the doctor or per trial protocol. Deaths are self explanatory.
BearDownAZ