Re: "spike" to the downside for the Dow
in response to
by
posted on
Nov 27, 2008 08:08AM
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The following was stated in todays results:
+19.27% in only 4 trading days!
In fairness, we could not expect more from our indicators than the absolutely terrific rally
they have just produced.
This has been the best 4-day rally since the summer of 1932, which gained +22.7%.
That powerful 1932 rally marked the end of the 1929-32 Bear Market.
Whether this week has done the same to the 2007-2008 Bear Market is still unknown.
Nevertheless, once again, this means that we are “hobnobbing” with the crowd of 1929-32.
The indicators, which we mentioned yesterday, all showed further improvements. These
were the Selling Pressure Index, Cumulative Advance/Decline Line and the 10-Day Advance
Decline Ratio. The Selling Pressure Index, in particular, seems headed for the amber light.
Also, the Cumulative Advance/Decline Line stands at +87,893 this morning, drawing away
steadily from the +81,195 low of November 20th.
Yesterday’s market internals were very positive:
a. 83.6% of all stocks advanced.
b. Upside Volume had a 90% Upside Volume Day at 90.6%.
c. The Plurality Index was +69.2%.
d. New Lows and New Highs are narrowing 92 vs. 18.
e. Pre-holiday Total Volume was reduced to 1.42 billion shares.
As the market takes a Thanksgiving Day break, the Bear Market from October 31, 2007
stands with a decline of -46.2%.
The two best months of the year are about to begin. What will they produce?