Chin Up
posted on
Mar 31, 2008 10:16PM
All this tremendous potential with no results in the share price has got some anxious and ready to sell. IMHO this is when I gobble some more shares up. Okay, I am no pro and in fact just a small potato investor looking to position myself for this soon to be bull run, BUT I am convinced through my DD, and formulations (Shares/M&I oz. + cash cost/M&I worth = price per oz. * [*still working on the perfect formula] ) that this certainly can double in share price by year end.
What were really banking on is the news of pre-feasibility study being positive. Considering they've purchased mine&mill equipment to up production to 800 tons p/d that tells us they are confident the study will be optimistic.
So where does that put us? Crunch the numbers and this is what I got.
Presently
Indicated - 142 g/t or 4.58 oz
mine and mill capability 150 t/d
142 * 150 = 21300g (659 oz) per day
300 days of milling * 659oz per day = 197,700 oz per year
197,700 * the price of silver (say $20) = 3,954,000 (gross income)
2009
even with the indicated staying the same @ 142 g/t
multyply that by the new and improved mill at 600 t/d (at the least)
= 2748 oz. per day
doesn't seem like much? Say the mine operates 300 days per year. That's 300*2748= 824,516 oz per year. Multiply that by the price of silver , say it's $30 an oz next year, will give you a gross income of $24,735,480. Now subtract the cost(s) and you have the value of the company for that year.
Eventually, production can go even further up I would hope. If not, this mine will have a life of nearly 20 years. Feel free to comment on my numbers as for I have only grown interest in this sector within the past year and consider myself new to the game.
Is $24,735,480 consider good Gross income?