Re: Reg Greenslade's resignation
in response to
by
posted on
Dec 12, 2012 01:32PM
Edit this title from the Fast Facts Section
NBF take:
Our view on balance sheet effectively unchanged ...
In conjunction with this announcement, our discussion with
management suggests our prior Q4 utilization estimates are too high. As a result, we are trimming our forecasts, but our stance on the balance sheet (strained but manageable) remains unchanged. For details, please see Exhibits 1 and 2.
… but we think corporate strategy is under review.
While we do not interpret this departure as a negative vote vis-à-vis the recently announced and subsequently cancelled public offering of debt, we do believe it signals a corporate strategy under revamp. It is too soon to ascertain the likely outcome of a strategic re-focus or potential impact on current equity holders, and hence we move to the sidelines.
Moving to Sector Perform on heightened uncertainty.
Our target is trimmed modestly as we pull back EBITDA forecasts largely on utilization reduction in Q4 and Q1. More notably, our shift to a Sector Perform is predicated less on the potential absolute return to our target price and more so on the unquantifiable uncertainty surrounding a corporate strategy in flux. We believe that an investment in TID represents a call option on a currently undetermined growth path; we would revisit our rating if the visibility on TID’s expansion became clearer.