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Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta

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Message: Re: Oil Sands Only estimate for 2010 using 9000 bbl/d from GD

Dec 18, 2009 01:21PM

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Dec 22, 2009 02:37AM
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Dec 22, 2009 05:10AM

Krissy,

I hate to say it but you are wrong about Spide numbers.

He is using bitumen netbacks to get the cash flow. Obviously this is not a net cash flow which you can put to the bank. It does not include the maintenance and projected CAPEX and interest coverage. The net cash flow is negative.

On the other hand , you are right about the the interest payments. Without the Algar successful production in Q3/Q4 2010 this company has to go back to shareholders for more cash, find the buyer or go down under.

Successful Algar and hopfuly higher bitumen price will give us some boost and possible credit rating upgrades which may push the SP above $2 per share.

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