Welcome To the Copper Fox Metals Inc. HUB On AGORACOM

CUU own 25% Schaft Creek: proven/probable min. reserves/940.8m tonnes = 0.27% copper, 0.19 g/t gold, 0.018% moly and 1.72 g/t silver containing: 5.6b lbs copper, 5.8m ounces gold, 363.5m lbs moly and 51.7m ounces silver; (Recoverable CuEq 0.46%)

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Message: NPV - Teck vs. Copper Fox

As mentioned, the NPV is in part based on the amount of money in and out of a business.  In our case, there’s two businesses involved (Teck and Copper Fox).  Based on the SCJV, both have different financial obligations.  Teck needs to fund the project and the money they have to invest does in theory lose value in time.  Therefore, each entity doesn’t necessarily have a NPV based on their share of the project.  I’ll try to better explain this with numbers.

For Teck (75%), see below the approximate stream of net cash flows (in millions) based on the 2013 FS.

Year -5: -100

Year 1: -225

Year 6: 543.75

Year 11: 37.5

Year 16: 18.75

Year -4: -300

Year 2: 600

Year 7: 468.75

Year 12: 150

Year 17: 300

Year -3: -1000

Year 3: 487.5

Year 8: 393.75

Year 13: 318.75

Year 18: 506.25

Year -2: -1000

Year 4: 356.25

Year 9: 318.75

Year 14: 431.25

Year 19: 600

Year -1: -825

Year 5: 431.25

Year 10: 187.5

Year 15: 168.75

Year 20: 675

 

 

 

 

Year 21: 243.75

Entering all these values in the calculator should give you a negative NPV (8%) around (251M). 

 

For Schaft Creek (25%), see below the approximate stream of net cash flows (in millions) based on the 2013 FS.

Year -5: 0

Year 1: 0

Year 6: 181.25

Year 11: 12.5

Year 16: 6.25

Year -4: 0

Year 2: 200

Year 7: 156.25

Year 12: 50

Year 17: 100

Year -3: 0

Year 3: 162.5

Year 8: 131.25

Year 13: 106.25

Year 18: 168.75

Year -2: 0

Year 4: 118.75

Year 9: 106.25

Year 14: 143.75

Year 19: 200

Year -1: 0

Year 5: 143.75

Year 10: 62.5

Year 15: 56.25

Year 20: 225

 

 

 

 

Year 21: 81.25

Entering all these values in the calculator should give you a positive NPV (8%) around 771M. 

 

Conclusion:  The sum of each individual NPV does equal 520M, but we can clearly see that the business case for each company is completely different.  For Teck, the project is not profitable and for Copper Fox its way better than the 128M they are taking credit for today.

IMO.

MoneyK

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Sep 26, 2020 02:00PM
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