This another thing we see different, not that one view is right over another, just a different view. I see a break of support as a conformation of my guess of step-dropping the price to get to technical scare points and stoploss bids to affect the most damage for repurchase. I have lost on failing companies as well as sometimes the research has been hidden from any public and company walls. I have also missed waiting for what I thought was an effort and some suprise comes from an unknown broker or institution to the upside as they start taking earlier than most. My first rule is, no way can you predict whats happening unless you are making it happen.