Re: tcr- accumulaton theory.. Pohl 'Perplexed'..
posted on
May 13, 2007 07:46PM
No prob Moxa... I'm not for sure this could be done either.. but that
does not mean it can't. Assume (many months ago) Swartz (aka Lincoln) holds <10%
retail and 70 mil warrants left (assume he already converted ~30 mil
warrants and sold appropriate number shares to remain <10%- pure cash pocketed). He
knows how valuable the MMP patents are (assumes litigation is a lock)..
knows how much more valuable [his] PTSC shares would be if there was no
warrant overhang, and actual investment firms could consider
accumulation.. but, he does not want to give up hold of all those
remaining warrants he has (getting rid of all them sharply reduces his
free divy income). So he decides to convert warrants, but needs to
sell a near equivalent number of retail shares inorder to stay under
that 10%... but at the same time he has entities buying shares of PTSC
on the open market and hiding them (this is the part I am not sure is
possible, but guess is it could be done) so he does not have to file
with the SEC because his 'holdings' remain under 10%. If he were
converting/selling with one hand and buying with an unknown
under-the-table third hand at the same time (we won't go where his
second hand is), his cost would be nill, no? In theory.. He could have
converted and sold tens of millions of shares in the 1.25 - 2.00+ range
(pure profit).. then decided to do the 'retain a certain %' of all the
next warrants converted.. leaving some for new retail, and past
&/or future MMP licensees, whomever... all the while keeping his
registered retail shares and increasing his hidden retail shares..
perhaps to as much as 70 - 80 million(?) total. Actually, the share
price probably wouldn't be affected much by this convertion/sell/buy by
Swartz (and at this point Swartz probably doesn't care what the price
is since he would be swapping & holding onto those new shares),
unless retail began to tire of the up one down two routine and began
buying less and less.. or also began selling on news.. or got nervous
as the MH/ruling approached.. then the price could possiblly drift down as we
have witnessed.....
This obviously is pure speculation on my part, and probably is not what
is taking place.... but it would explain where all those warants went,
and Swartz not actually dumping, and retaining major divy cash, while
still allowing him to pocket a profit to the tune of $20 - 30 mil, and
increase his 'retail' holdings waiting for the day investment firms are
convinced PTSC is legit/safe & begin to seriously buy in.
If one assumes Swartz & Lincoln are clearly diff parties then just cut my numbers in half
jmo/spec & reagards