HIGH-GRADE NI-CU-PT-PD-ZN-CR-AU-V-TI DISCOVERIES IN THE "RING OF FIRE"

NI 43-101 Update (September 2012): 11.1 Mt @ 1.68% Ni, 0.87% Cu, 0.89 gpt Pt and 3.09 gpt Pd and 0.18 gpt Au (Proven & Probable Reserves) / 8.9 Mt @ 1.10% Ni, 1.14% Cu, 1.16 gpt Pt and 3.49 gpt Pd and 0.30 gpt Au (Inferred Resource)

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Message: Re: "real" mining world takeover premium ... johndefur
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Dec 31, 2007 06:44AM
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Dec 31, 2007 06:51AM
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Dec 31, 2007 07:03AM
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Dec 31, 2007 07:59AM
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Dec 31, 2007 08:15AM

The "real" mining world established mining company takeover would be difficult to compared to a junior discovery takeover.

Falconbridge as the takeover example included information that needs to be clarified. Initial takeover offer by Inco was about $34 and not $28. The eventual winning all-cash bid from Xstrata of $62.50 a share. Xtrata had previously purchased about 20% of Falconbridge shares at $28 a number of months prior to Inco making the first of many takeover bids that could be seen as a perfect storm involving Falconbridge, Inco, Teck Cominco (I believe that Teck had purchased $250 million Inco shares prior to their bid for Inco), Xtrata, Phelps Dodge, and CVRD all involved in a battle to capture a major corner of the Nickel market.

A premium was paid not only for what was in the ground but also for technology that was under the control of the takeover targets. CVRD for an example had just recently acquired Caninco and it's Laterite based Onca Puma properties in Brazil (important to note that this Laterite that can be smelted conventionally) and their takeover of Inco will have provided them with the expertise of electric blast furnace processing that Inco preciously has put in place in Indonesia at their PT Inco facility.

These takeovers of established companies that have been in place for nearly a century cannot be compared to the buyout of a Junior that has discovered a new deposit of any significance.

Here is the Inco/Falconbridge Original Proposal Transaction Summary

Name of company: Inco Limited, headquartered in Toronto

Consideration:

Per Falconbridge Share:
Cdn$34(1)
Assuming proration
Cdn$7.50 + 0.524 Inco share

Aggregate:
Cash: Cdn$2.87 billion
Stock: 200.7 million shares

Ownership(2): Inco 54% / Falconbridge 46%

(1) Based on Inco’s share pr ice of $42.83 on October 10, 2005 and 0.6713 of an Inco share

(2) Fully-di luted basis

Friendly takeover offer recommended by both Inco and Falconbridge boards

Inco offer for Falconbridge fails

Carrie Tait and Boyd Erman, Financial Post Published: Friday, July 28, 2006

Inco Ltd. today abandoned its nine-month-long attempt to buy nickel and copper miner Falconbridge Ltd. after too few shareholders supported the plan, leaving Xstrata Plc poised to buy Falconbridge and the field open for a bidding war for Inco.

Shareholders last night had to choose between Inco's final cash-and-stock offer, valued at $65.27, and an all-cash bid from Xstrata of $62.50 a share. Inco wanted at least 50.01% of Falconbridge's shares to go ahead, and said early this morning that it had not reached that threshold.

Inco will now turn its attention to selling shareholders on the company's plan to be taken over by Phelps Dodge Corp., which backed Inco's bid for Falconbridge and had planned to buy both Canadian miners once they had combined. It's likely there will be other companies bidding for Inco, an expectation that has driven Inco shares skyward.

Teck Cominco Ltd. of Vancouver has already made a bid for Inco and Rio Tinto of the U.K. and Brazil-based Companhia Vale do Rio Doce are considered other probable suitors.

"Ideally, I would like to see Teck Cominco end up with Inco," said Charl Malan, a senior analyst at New York-based Van Eck Global, which owns Inco shares. "I would love to see that happening. But at the end of the day I'm going to vote for whoever gives me the most money and makes the most sense."

Inco shares rose $2.56 to $86.57 by the close of trading today as shareholders bet that the company will sell for a fat premium. Falconbridge shares, meantime, traded just under the value of the Xstrata bid, at which they have hovered all week, a strong signal that Xstrata was going to win.

Toronto-based Inco didn't disclose how many Falconbridge shares were tendered to its offer, which expired at midnight Vancouver time. Those that were tendered will be returned to their owners.

"Though a large number of Falconbridge shareholders supported our offer, unfortunately it wasn't enough," Scott Hand, chairman and chief executive officer of Inco, said in a statement. "This is disappointing news for the many people at Inco and Falconbridge who have worked very hard to realize this transaction and create what we believe would have been a truly great mining company. I thank everyone for the many long hours and effort they have contributed. But the Falconbridge shareholders have spoken, and we're moving on."

Inco and Falconbridge are considered prizes because of the rising price of metals. Inco is the world's second-largest nickel company while Falconbridge is the third. Falconbridge also sports a copper component.

Hints that there might be a battle for Toronto-based Falconbridge emerged last August when Xstrata bought a 19.9% stake in the company from Brascan Corp. Switzerland-based Xstrata paid Brascan (now Brookfield Asset Management Inc.) $28 a share. It was Inco's October bid, however, that kicked off the auction. Inco made a friendly offer of $7.50 in cash plus 0.524 of an Inco share for each Falconbridge share. Xstrata responded in May with an all-cash offer of $52.50.

Since then, the price has ratcheted higher in a series of counterbids.

Xstrata is fond of Falconbridge's copper assets, but would also benefit from its nickel mines, something Xstrata completely lacks. Inco, on the other hand, is pure nickel and has mines side-by-side with Falconbridge sites in Sudbury. Inco wanted to merge those mines to generate $550-million in synergies.

Shares of Xstrata have soared this week on optimism the company would win the battle and add Falconbridge's assets to its stable of coal, copper and zinc mines.

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