I am not alking about surprsies, I am talking about reasonable valuation...

You speak of having what you call a level outlook, seemingly balanced by the legitimate possibilty that things could go even lower, but then you say "I firmly believe NOT is the place to be and a lot of people are going to be sorry they didn't buy in a very big way. We know the geological facts as reported by NOT and that they bode extremely well for the future. Now we need the correct chemistry of market sentiment and news to bring about the party.", which, if you read my post, is pretty much excatly what I am saying...

So other than providing a paradigm case of contradiction for us to enjoy, what's your point?

B.