"Put another way, the people who in the past would not have considered blind targets may be forced to do so,..."
I respect your opinion, but strongly disagree. I think they will do as they have always done. That is, maintain production by buying competitors and smaller producers, at least in the short- to mid-term. I say that because the larger and older the company, the less appitite they have for risk (especially in older, industrial-type companies).
As you implied, time will tell.
VP