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Connacher is a growing exploration, development and production company with a focus on producing bitumen and expanding its in-situ oil sands projects located near Fort McMurray, Alberta

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Message: Re: A Positive Outlook for CLL: I disagree on your valuation
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Oct 23, 2009 11:50AM
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Oct 23, 2009 02:06PM

Oct 23, 2009 02:25PM
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Oct 23, 2009 05:28PM
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Oct 24, 2009 12:27AM

I value Conancher with following method

take ENcana ratio for enterprise value (debt + market cap ) / cash flow averaged over 3 years

take a discount of 20% on this ratio to account for Connacher small size and higher risk

and compute with connacher debt and future cashflows algar included

This is my estimate of COnnacher value

Much below yours

With this you will find that you need algar cashflow to even justify the current share price. It is by the way normal that algar is taken into account in share price ...

Your current estimation is strange and I am surprised so many members approve it.

Hubisan

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