Re: The Falcon play - Falcon's present value - Rick Wilkinson article
in response to
by
posted on
May 09, 2014 10:56AM
Developing large acreage positions of unconventional and conventional oil and gas resources
Just to clarify what Rick Wilkinson reported. He said that "each" of the JV partners would be paying up $20 million, but in reading Falcon's press release it appears fairly clear that the total paid by both JV's is $20 million - which is still a nice chunk of change given that Philip has reduced Falcon's burn rate.
In rereading Falcon's press release, Philip indicates that the drilling of the first 5 wells could commence in 2014 depending on permits and rig availability. If Statoil can get approvals in the Georgina Basin and drill 5 test wells inside of one year, then I would certainly hope that Origin - who has allot more clout and drilling experience in Australia than Statoil - can get the ball rolling and some results much faster than the ridiculous 3 year time limit that Philip has given them.
I fully expect to hear some sort of press release from Falcon, in the next six months, saying that this 3 year time frame was a worst case scenerio and that Philip expects the first 4 vertical wells to be complete before the end of the second year!! I can see the 5th well - being a horizontal well and associated testing on that one - taking a bit longer, but Statoil will complete 5 vertical wells inside of one year and there is no reason that Origin can't do the same given their much greater size and clout in Australia.