Re: No production worries from the EIA?
in response to
by
posted on
Feb 01, 2008 09:13AM
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According to EIA, world consumption will increase as follow:
2004 = 83 mbd
2015 = 97 mbd
2030 = 118 mbd
Table 4 list Gain & losses, Saudi Arabia is described as having lost 1,2 billiion barrels but others countries have gain
the total of OPEC countries have nevetheless gained 95 billion barrels and non-Opec have gained 216 billion barrels
So the burden is not solely on SA
From 2004-2015, consumption should increased by 14 mbd which 8 mbd coming from Opec Countries and 6 mbd from non Opec.
From 2015-2030, world consumption is projected to increase by an additional 20 mbd which 15 mbd coming from Opec Countries and another 6 mbd coming from non Opec .
So, the increase from 2004-2030 is 35 mbd which 23 mbd from Opec and 12 mbd from non Opec. And this take in account losses form SA , according to what I've read in this report.
Now, whether the oil reserves of SA has been overevaluated, that I do not know.
There has been two different point of view, some say that world reserve are overevaluated, some say the contrary. Who is right, I dont know but I am optimistic person especially with all the other energy being developed( hydro, solar, wind, nuclear, hydrogen...)
All this do not solve Montello situation as to become a producer soon as money might be diffcult to get.
All the best
ecce