Mosaic ImmunoEngineering is a nanotechnology-based immunotherapy company developing therapeutics and vaccines to positively impact the lives of patients and their families.

Free
Message: Re: But even with a low P/E, at $1.00 in potential earnings - B-Lunist
3
Nov 30, 2007 09:49AM
2
Nov 30, 2007 10:03AM
1
Nov 30, 2007 10:07AM

Nov 30, 2007 10:11AM
2
Nov 30, 2007 10:13AM
2
Nov 30, 2007 10:15AM

Nov 30, 2007 10:16AM

Nov 30, 2007 10:22AM
1
Nov 30, 2007 10:32AM

Nov 30, 2007 10:40AM

Nov 30, 2007 10:56AM
12
Nov 30, 2007 11:54AM
2
Nov 30, 2007 01:16PM
3
Nov 30, 2007 01:39PM

Nov 30, 2007 02:39PM

Nov 30, 2007 04:28PM
1
Nov 30, 2007 04:42PM
6
Nov 30, 2007 04:51PM

Re: But even with a low P/E, at $1.00 in potential earnings - B-Lunist

posted on Dec 01, 2007 06:46AM

Your math looks correct (with the rounding), but you left out a detail that may confuse. That $800M gets divided by two, yielding $400M, which is better than $1/share earnings with our OS near 400M.

And yes, the current settlement-in-waiting could be good for only $50M to PTSC, or some outrageous number, and you did leave that out of the equation. Another thing to consider is that if we could get licenses at a rate/frequency like that, our P/E and market cap would probably adjust accordingly - not to mention the recurring income stream just from the interest on all that money. I'll spare everyone my tired discussion of what our P/E multple should be, but I will remind that the average (just average) P/E in our market sector is 39 (what's 39 X $1?).

Wild card to the down side = Swartz.

Wild cards to the upside = strong promotion of the stock via an effective marketing campaign, a higher average licensing fee, a strong strategic acquisition during the timeframe, multiple such acquisitions, AMD using our I/I tech and sending us royalties, and, since I'm getting a little extreme, inclusion of a covert "deal" (ala TPL/Telesys with Sony) with a license to Sun Micro for a native Java chip (ShBoom, where the tech work is done, or I/I with Sun doing the tech work).

All talk of where the PPS might go is a bit futile. Either you're an optimist and believe the P/E will be at least better than one third of where it is today (~16), somewhere higher, or higher than the "average" 39 (market cap be damned), simto ARMHY (~46); or you believe that, with our earnings at $1/share and $400M+ in the bank and more than half the infringers yet to be hit, our P/E multiple will be less than a third of what it is today (~16) keeping the PPS down at $5. It will be what it will be....(duh!).

JMHOs,

SGE

1
Dec 01, 2007 12:33PM
2
Dec 02, 2007 07:39AM
1
Dec 02, 2007 08:02AM
10
Dec 03, 2007 05:27PM
2
Dec 03, 2007 06:23PM
Share
New Message
Please login to post a reply