Re: Formal offer
in response to
by
posted on
Jun 01, 2010 07:31AM
First Explorer at the "Ring of Fire" and presently drilling on the "BIG DADDY" Chromite/Pge's jv'd property...yet we were robbed
Hoov,
I have two concerns with your valuation (unfortunately I am using the same one so I obviously don’t know the solution). The first if my numbers are correct (See Below) you used the 20% cut off to calculate the value per tonne of chromium as valued by the Cliff Takeover of FWR. My problem is assessing what a realistic cut off grade is for Chromium, if this was a Nickel, Zinc or Copper mine it would be fairly simple to come up with a reasonable figure. The 15% Cut-off used the Big Daddy number included a band of waste that from my understanding could be removed before sending ore to be processed. I included a rough calculation of Cliff’s value of Chromium at a 25% cut-off at Black Thor.
The second is the assumption that Cliff’s was aware of the size of Big Daddy before making an offer for FWR, again I understand why you made the assumption I just don’t know if it is accurate.
Note: There could be mistakes in these calculations, they were completed in 15 minutes because I could not find my old spreadsheet.
Disclosure: I have a position in SPQ, I made a set of assumptions that may or may not be correct
Tonnes (million) |
Grade |
Tonnes CR(mil) |
||||||
Big Daddy |
Inferred |
23.2 |
0.4066 |
9.4 |
Outstanding Shares SPQ |
476,336,465 |
||
Indicated |
16.3 |
0.3909 |
6.4 |
FWR Take over |
$ 675 |
Million |
||
Total |
15.8 |
Value |
$ 314,848,649.48 |
|||||
SPQ BD |
4.2 |
$ 83,434,892.11 |
||||||
Black Thor |
20% cutoff |
121.9 |
0.278 |
33.9 |
19.92 $/t |
|||
CLF BD |
7.4 |
|||||||
Tonnes with BD |
41.3 |
16.34 $/t |
||||||
Value of SPQ |
||||||||
Without Big Daddy |
0.18 |
|||||||
With BD |
0.1436643 |
|||||||
Tonnes |
Grade |
Tonnes CR(mil) |
||||||
Big Daddy |
Inferred |
23.2 |
0.4066 |
9.4 |
||||
Indicated |
16.3 |
0.3909 |
6.4 |
|||||
Total |
15.8 |
Value |
$ 480,810,246.47 |
|||||
SPQ Portion |
4.2 |
$ 127,414,715.31 |
||||||
Black Thor |
25% cutoff |
69.6 |
0.319 |
22.2 |
30.42 $/t |
|||
7.4 |
||||||||
Tonnes with BD |
29.6 |
22.79 $/t |
||||||
Value of SPQ |
||||||||
Without Big Daddy |
$ 0.27 |
|||||||
With BD |
0.2003983 |